|
|
|
REVIEW & OUTLOOK Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill is taking some heat because his
off-the-record criticism of his boss's recent decision to impose 30% steel
tariffs made it into print. But if you look at the fallout since that decision,
we'd say this might be Mr. O'Neill's finest hour.
The nasty truth is that Mr. Bush has unleashed the world's protectionist
hounds, and just as he's about to preach the virtues of free trade on a trip to
Latin America. Russia has banned imports of American poultry, using steel as an
excuse. The European Union is hopping mad, and considering new levies on some $2
billion of U.S. goods including citrus, which could hurt Mr. Bush in key states
like Florida. Brazil is saber-rattling about the future of his prized Free Trade
Area of the Americas.
Meanwhile, America's best friends are trying to explain this slap in their
face. British Prime Minister Tony Blair, already facing a party mutiny for
backing the U.S. on Iraq, called the tariffs "unacceptable, unjustified and
wrong." And Australian Prime Minister John Howard, who said after September
11 that this is no time to be "an 80% ally," is surely grateful for
the 30% tariff he's received in return.
This is all the consequence of Mr. Bush's decision to let Karl Rove play
Secretary of State for a day. Over objections from Colin Powell and the Bush
economic team, the White House political Svengali convinced the President the
payoff from grateful steelworkers in this year's congressional elections and in
2004 were worth the risks. Then, conveniently, the tariffs expire.
The steel decision was especially damaging to Mr. Bush and the trading order,
because it was his first major trade decision made under domestic pressure. The
world was watching for a precedent, all the more so because it knows Mr. Bush is
sitting on an 80% approval rating--a rating that has something to do with a
reputation, now tarnished, for standing on principle. Instead of acting like the
world's economic leader, Mr. Bush behaved like a parochial Congressman.
Mr. Bush's main trade advisers haven't helped by trying to justify the
decision in the most crass political terms. Trade Rep Bob Zoellick went to
Brazil last week and admitted the decision was a sop to the Rust Belt, just the
thing to enhance his negotiating credibility. Commerce trade official Grant
Aldonas sounded like the Congressional staffer he used to be by suggesting that
U.S. agriculture and computer chips might be next up for protection. "We
have told people over time that if you don't see stronger growth abroad, you end
up seeing friction on the trade account," he said. These guys are making
Mr. O'Neill sound like a statesman.
And all to help the large and inefficient integrated U.S. steel mills that
can't be saved in any case. National Steel, the nation's fourth-largest
producer, filed for bankruptcy just a day after the Bush decision. Thirty-one
other steel companies have done the same since the end of 1997, and Standard
& Poor's responded to the tariffs by refusing to raise the industry's credit
ratings.
Meanwhile, Tyson Foods, which was selling Russia 20 million pounds of chicken
a week, has seen its earnings estimates drop with that country's retaliatory
tariff. And U.S. manufacturers that rely on imported steel are facing tough
times too. The Commerce Department has received about 1,000 requests for tariff
exemptions so far, many from the likes of Precision Tube Technology of Houston,
which makes oil drilling equipment with specialty steel it buys from France.
Even in purely political terms, the steel tariff looks dubious. The President
didn't need to compromise to get Trade Promotion Authority through the Senate
(it's already passed the House), and if he needs West Virginia's electoral votes
in 2004, he's probably not going to win anyway. As for this year's Congressional
races, Dick Gephardt is already bashing him for not doing enough. Mr. Bush's
steel blunder is going to hurt him, and the country, for a long time. |
|
Go to Harry's primary website:
www.snowbizz.com
or make a contribution to the campaign This Web page is prepared and paid
for by Harry Welty, Welty Volunteer Committee, PO Box 3613, Duluth, MN
55803 |